Tuesday, October 30, 2007
The punteros are paid to vote for the queen K (Kristina Kirchner)
This video came out in Al Jazeera, was a report of Teresa Bo. I've seen it at the now Senator Maria Eugenia Estenssoro blog (http://www.estenssorome.com.ar/blog/2007/10/30/somos-la-segunda-fuerza-de-la-oposicion-en-la-argentina/)....pretty interesting, you can find your own conclussions
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Tomorrow there will be Presidential Elections in Argentina --- whom to vote???
Tomorrow is D day in Argentina. A new President will be chosen and half of the Senate and the Deputees chamber will change. All the polls show that Cristina Kirchner (a.k.a. Kristina) will win by more than 20 points. Since the INDEC (national statistics index in Argentina) has been corrupted, nobody in Argentina believes in polls any more. Kristina is the wife of Nestor Kirchner, the actual President in Argentina and is using government funds to pay for her campaign. The Kirchners have hired a ridiculous amount of pollsters to manipulate the information on the polls.
When Kirchner became president, he made a great gamble. He was competing against former president Carlos Menem. Kirchner manipulated the media to publish polls showing that the candidate from the Centre party, Ricardo Lopez Murphy, has the opportunity to get into the ballotage. Menem's base was formed with lots of middle of the spectrum voters. These voters, thinking that their 'natural' candidate could access the ballotage, voted Lopez Murphy, instead of Menem.
Menem therefore won the first round of elections, but by a small margin and he didn't want to compete in the second round. Kirchner was named President, but was chosen by only 20%+ of the electorate. He dedicated to gain power in his first presidency.
He was favoured by the world economy recovery and the demand for crops. The soya brought loads of foreign currency to the country and helped kept the Treasury arcs filled up. But during these last years, public expenditure increased, the Central Bank had to put lots of currency into the market to keep the US dollar high and inflation started to get out of control. Suddenly, the pockets of the middle class started to fill tight again, and Kirchner's popularity start stumbling. He thought that the best way to keep in power, was to put his wife in charge of the highest echelon in politics, and try to refresh the Presidency.
The opposition did not capitalise this moment to try to show a viable option. Therefore, there are lots of different lists, and people that wants to vote against Kristina, does not know for whom to vote tomorrow.
The papers are signalising Lilita Carrio (ARI), as the second favourite, but some pollsters are showing Alberto Rodriguez Saa (actual governor of San Luis)as the second post. Whom to vote tomorrow? It is hard to say.
I do not like any of the candidates. I admire Lilita's guts to fight corruption. But I do not know her capacity for governing. There are some good people within her chosen cabinet: as Estenssoro & Pratt Gay, who formerly was the Director of the Central Bank.
But Lilita tried to conglomerate too many people from all the political spectrum, from the right to the left. It is difficult to know if she will be able to lead them if she would be elected President.
Adolfo Rodriguez Saa has a good government in San Luis. It is said that he steals, but not as much as other 'caudillos' in other provinces. At least he makes poor people work for their monthly vouchers. Everyone has a decent house and the province is tidy. He knows how to govern, but he could be confused with being a dictator.
Former Treasury Secretary, Roberto Lavagna, seems a pragmatic candidate, but he said that if he looses tomorrow, he will vote for Kristina....therefore, that has made people that do not want to vote for Kristina, not want to vote for him!
What will happen tomorrow? It seems that Argentina will continue unfortunately, under Kirchner's power for four more years...
When Kirchner became president, he made a great gamble. He was competing against former president Carlos Menem. Kirchner manipulated the media to publish polls showing that the candidate from the Centre party, Ricardo Lopez Murphy, has the opportunity to get into the ballotage. Menem's base was formed with lots of middle of the spectrum voters. These voters, thinking that their 'natural' candidate could access the ballotage, voted Lopez Murphy, instead of Menem.
Menem therefore won the first round of elections, but by a small margin and he didn't want to compete in the second round. Kirchner was named President, but was chosen by only 20%+ of the electorate. He dedicated to gain power in his first presidency.
He was favoured by the world economy recovery and the demand for crops. The soya brought loads of foreign currency to the country and helped kept the Treasury arcs filled up. But during these last years, public expenditure increased, the Central Bank had to put lots of currency into the market to keep the US dollar high and inflation started to get out of control. Suddenly, the pockets of the middle class started to fill tight again, and Kirchner's popularity start stumbling. He thought that the best way to keep in power, was to put his wife in charge of the highest echelon in politics, and try to refresh the Presidency.
The opposition did not capitalise this moment to try to show a viable option. Therefore, there are lots of different lists, and people that wants to vote against Kristina, does not know for whom to vote tomorrow.
The papers are signalising Lilita Carrio (ARI), as the second favourite, but some pollsters are showing Alberto Rodriguez Saa (actual governor of San Luis)as the second post. Whom to vote tomorrow? It is hard to say.
I do not like any of the candidates. I admire Lilita's guts to fight corruption. But I do not know her capacity for governing. There are some good people within her chosen cabinet: as Estenssoro & Pratt Gay, who formerly was the Director of the Central Bank.
But Lilita tried to conglomerate too many people from all the political spectrum, from the right to the left. It is difficult to know if she will be able to lead them if she would be elected President.
Adolfo Rodriguez Saa has a good government in San Luis. It is said that he steals, but not as much as other 'caudillos' in other provinces. At least he makes poor people work for their monthly vouchers. Everyone has a decent house and the province is tidy. He knows how to govern, but he could be confused with being a dictator.
Former Treasury Secretary, Roberto Lavagna, seems a pragmatic candidate, but he said that if he looses tomorrow, he will vote for Kristina....therefore, that has made people that do not want to vote for Kristina, not want to vote for him!
What will happen tomorrow? It seems that Argentina will continue unfortunately, under Kirchner's power for four more years...
Welcome to my new blog!
Welcome to my new blog! After graduating from my second master's I am starting to brainstorm what I will do next! I have too many interests and I want to merge them all in an exciting career!
On one hand I love to know what is going on in the world, the relationships between potencies and third world countries, and the governments' struggle of power. I like to explore why some countries can be succesful, whereas others seem they cannot get their affairs together and improve their citizen's wellbeing.
I am also interested in how people get into power and try to stay there no matter what, their alliances, backstabbings, how they trick the public information, and what amazes me most, is how the ordinary reader believes in what he reads! I am a natural sceptic and I tend not to believe too much in what I read, constantly asking myself, why? why this piece of news in this moment? What are they trying to infer or what are they hiding?
So welcome to my new blog! I will be trying to comment on different things that catch my attention and make me think! I will be looking at how well people and companies manage their images, and try to have fun while doing it! Hope you enjoy it!
On one hand I love to know what is going on in the world, the relationships between potencies and third world countries, and the governments' struggle of power. I like to explore why some countries can be succesful, whereas others seem they cannot get their affairs together and improve their citizen's wellbeing.
I am also interested in how people get into power and try to stay there no matter what, their alliances, backstabbings, how they trick the public information, and what amazes me most, is how the ordinary reader believes in what he reads! I am a natural sceptic and I tend not to believe too much in what I read, constantly asking myself, why? why this piece of news in this moment? What are they trying to infer or what are they hiding?
So welcome to my new blog! I will be trying to comment on different things that catch my attention and make me think! I will be looking at how well people and companies manage their images, and try to have fun while doing it! Hope you enjoy it!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
